According to the data released by the China Machinery Industry Federation on the 19th, the speed of the machinery industry slowed down in 2015, and the market performance of the industry products was clearly differentiated. There were three phenomena: “more†and “lessâ€, “high†and “lowâ€. "fast" and "slow"
According to data released by the China Machinery Industry Federation, the speed of the machinery industry slowed down in 2015, and the market performance of the industry products was clearly differentiated. There were three phenomena: “more†and “lessâ€, “high†and “lowâ€, and “ Fast and "slow".
The big data in the machinery industry reflects the characteristics of the Chinese economy under the new normal.
The growth rate of investment machinery products slows down China's economic power to accelerate the conversion The following two sets of data highlight the serious situation of the machinery industry, but at the same time reflect the fact that China's economic growth momentum has accelerated:
——In 2015, the added value of the machinery industry increased by 5.5% year-on-year, which was lower than the national average industrial growth rate of 0.6 percentage points in the same period, which is rare in recent years.
—— During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the average annual growth of the machinery industry dropped from 23.55% during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period to an average annual growth rate of 11.91%; the profit growth rate dropped from the average annual growth rate of “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†to over 30%. The average annual growth rate is 6.45%.
"More than 70% of the products in the machinery industry are related to investment products. At present, the growth rate of investment in the whole country is declining. Economic growth is shifting from factor-driven to innovation-driven. The reduction in market demand for investment products is the main reason for the slowdown in the growth of the machinery industry. The reason." Chen Bin, executive vice president of the China Machinery Industry Federation, said.
"In the context of speed change, structural optimization, and power conversion, slower growth is the inevitable result of the market's decisive role in resource allocation. The mechanical industry's rapid growth from continuous high-speed growth to single digits is a rational return. The trend of high-speed growth in the economy," said Wang Ruixiang, president of the China Machinery Industry Federation.
According to Chen Bin, in order to adapt to the transformation and upgrading of the national economy, mechanical products are trying to find a transition from investment products to consumer products.
The data shows that the industry mainly driven by investment has gradually declined. Taking the main business income and profit growth rate as an example, the industries below the industry average are mainly construction machinery, petrochemical general, heavy mines and gold cutting machine tools. These industries are typical investment products industries in the machinery industry.
The big data in the machinery industry reflects the structural changes, 70% of the output of the products decline, and the market demand structure of the 30% growth changes. Among the 64 major mechanical products announced by the National Bureau of Statistics in 2015, only 18 kinds of production growth, accounting for 28.13%, the output There were 46 species falling, accounting for 71.87%.
Chen Bin believes that unlike the all-round rapid growth during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, the various sectors of the machinery industry entered the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, and the market demand structure has changed. The main sign of change is the intensification of differentiation.
The specific analysis shows that large-scale investment products such as metallurgical mining equipment, engineering machinery, conventional power generation equipment, and other mechanical products with serious overcapacity, such as various types of ordinary machine tools, AC motors, wire and cable, etc., have declined greatly; large horsepower tractors and instruments Outputs of products closely related to consumption, people's livelihood, energy conservation and emission reduction, and industrial upgrading, such as instruments, environmental protection equipment, electric forklifts, wind power equipment, and sporty multi-purpose passenger vehicles (SUVs) in automobiles, have continued to grow. The production and sales situation of industries related to intelligence and green is better.
The above changes reflect that China's economic structure is accelerating, the proportion of secondary production is declining, and the proportion of tertiary production is rising. The machinery industry is gradually adapting to changes in market demand structure.
In the market under the pressure and policy guidance, the transformation and upgrading efforts to increase Chen Bin use three "again" to summarize the current status of mechanical products: "more" and "less", "high" and "low", and "fast" It is "slow". The low-end products have excess capacity and low-end products; the enterprises with demand in the market are developing fast, and the enterprises with no orders are slow to grow and even face the risk of bankruptcy.
Insufficient market demand has led to a decline in orders for machinery products and a low price. In 2015, the cumulative orders of key enterprises in the machinery industry continued the weak trend of the previous year, and the growth rate further declined. It was still negative growth year-on-year. It accumulated 4.02% year-on-year from January to December. By the end of 2015, the cumulative price index of mechanical products has been continuous. 48 months is less than 100%. Among the 142 major mechanical products, the cumulative price index decreased by 103 species, accounting for 72.5%.
During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the growth rate of fixed assets investment in the machinery industry slowed down year by year, and it has dropped from 30.35% in 2010 to 9.7% in 2015, indicating that the trend of rapid expansion in the early stage of the industry has slowed down significantly. At the same time, the investment structure has improved. In 2015, the growth rate of investment for reconstruction and technological transformation was higher than the average growth rate of industry investment by 9.02 percentage points.
Against the background of increasing economic downward pressure, the ability of mechanical enterprises to actively adapt to market changes during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period has continued to increase, the endogenous development momentum has continued to increase, industrial restructuring has continued to advance, and independent research and development results have appeared frequently.
Chen Bin pointed out that the Central Economic Work Conference has clarified the economic policy tone of “stable progress and progress†and emphasized the main tasks of “going capacity, destocking, de-leveraging, reducing costs, supplementing short-term, improving the quality and efficiency of the supply systemâ€. It is conducive to the mechanical industry to promote structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading. As China's industrialization shifts to the middle and late stages, the development of the machinery industry has entered a new period of more gradual growth.
The big data in the machinery industry reflects the characteristics of the Chinese economy under the new normal.
The growth rate of investment machinery products slows down China's economic power to accelerate the conversion The following two sets of data highlight the serious situation of the machinery industry, but at the same time reflect the fact that China's economic growth momentum has accelerated:
——In 2015, the added value of the machinery industry increased by 5.5% year-on-year, which was lower than the national average industrial growth rate of 0.6 percentage points in the same period, which is rare in recent years.
—— During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the average annual growth of the machinery industry dropped from 23.55% during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period to an average annual growth rate of 11.91%; the profit growth rate dropped from the average annual growth rate of “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†to over 30%. The average annual growth rate is 6.45%.
"More than 70% of the products in the machinery industry are related to investment products. At present, the growth rate of investment in the whole country is declining. Economic growth is shifting from factor-driven to innovation-driven. The reduction in market demand for investment products is the main reason for the slowdown in the growth of the machinery industry. The reason." Chen Bin, executive vice president of the China Machinery Industry Federation, said.
"In the context of speed change, structural optimization, and power conversion, slower growth is the inevitable result of the market's decisive role in resource allocation. The mechanical industry's rapid growth from continuous high-speed growth to single digits is a rational return. The trend of high-speed growth in the economy," said Wang Ruixiang, president of the China Machinery Industry Federation.
According to Chen Bin, in order to adapt to the transformation and upgrading of the national economy, mechanical products are trying to find a transition from investment products to consumer products.
The data shows that the industry mainly driven by investment has gradually declined. Taking the main business income and profit growth rate as an example, the industries below the industry average are mainly construction machinery, petrochemical general, heavy mines and gold cutting machine tools. These industries are typical investment products industries in the machinery industry.
The big data in the machinery industry reflects the structural changes, 70% of the output of the products decline, and the market demand structure of the 30% growth changes. Among the 64 major mechanical products announced by the National Bureau of Statistics in 2015, only 18 kinds of production growth, accounting for 28.13%, the output There were 46 species falling, accounting for 71.87%.
Chen Bin believes that unlike the all-round rapid growth during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, the various sectors of the machinery industry entered the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, and the market demand structure has changed. The main sign of change is the intensification of differentiation.
The specific analysis shows that large-scale investment products such as metallurgical mining equipment, engineering machinery, conventional power generation equipment, and other mechanical products with serious overcapacity, such as various types of ordinary machine tools, AC motors, wire and cable, etc., have declined greatly; large horsepower tractors and instruments Outputs of products closely related to consumption, people's livelihood, energy conservation and emission reduction, and industrial upgrading, such as instruments, environmental protection equipment, electric forklifts, wind power equipment, and sporty multi-purpose passenger vehicles (SUVs) in automobiles, have continued to grow. The production and sales situation of industries related to intelligence and green is better.
The above changes reflect that China's economic structure is accelerating, the proportion of secondary production is declining, and the proportion of tertiary production is rising. The machinery industry is gradually adapting to changes in market demand structure.
In the market under the pressure and policy guidance, the transformation and upgrading efforts to increase Chen Bin use three "again" to summarize the current status of mechanical products: "more" and "less", "high" and "low", and "fast" It is "slow". The low-end products have excess capacity and low-end products; the enterprises with demand in the market are developing fast, and the enterprises with no orders are slow to grow and even face the risk of bankruptcy.
Insufficient market demand has led to a decline in orders for machinery products and a low price. In 2015, the cumulative orders of key enterprises in the machinery industry continued the weak trend of the previous year, and the growth rate further declined. It was still negative growth year-on-year. It accumulated 4.02% year-on-year from January to December. By the end of 2015, the cumulative price index of mechanical products has been continuous. 48 months is less than 100%. Among the 142 major mechanical products, the cumulative price index decreased by 103 species, accounting for 72.5%.
During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the growth rate of fixed assets investment in the machinery industry slowed down year by year, and it has dropped from 30.35% in 2010 to 9.7% in 2015, indicating that the trend of rapid expansion in the early stage of the industry has slowed down significantly. At the same time, the investment structure has improved. In 2015, the growth rate of investment for reconstruction and technological transformation was higher than the average growth rate of industry investment by 9.02 percentage points.
Against the background of increasing economic downward pressure, the ability of mechanical enterprises to actively adapt to market changes during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period has continued to increase, the endogenous development momentum has continued to increase, industrial restructuring has continued to advance, and independent research and development results have appeared frequently.
Chen Bin pointed out that the Central Economic Work Conference has clarified the economic policy tone of “stable progress and progress†and emphasized the main tasks of “going capacity, destocking, de-leveraging, reducing costs, supplementing short-term, improving the quality and efficiency of the supply systemâ€. It is conducive to the mechanical industry to promote structural adjustment and transformation and upgrading. As China's industrialization shifts to the middle and late stages, the development of the machinery industry has entered a new period of more gradual growth.
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