Follow-up: Are the environmental protection orders in various provinces and cities reliable?

Recently, the Ministry of Environmental Protection and 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) signed the "Responsibility Letter for Air Pollution Prevention and Control Targets". This is considered to be the signing of the "military order" by the provinces and the Ministry of Environmental Protection, marking the official launch of the national smog campaign.

In terms of the background of the news, this is actually the Sixth Province of the Ministry of Environmental Protection and Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, etc. after the State Council issued the "Air Pollution Prevention Action Plan" (later called the Ten States of the Atmosphere) in September last year. On the basis of the municipal government's letter of responsibility for air pollution prevention and control, the city's 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) have full coverage.

There are two main highlights in this news. One is that the military order has clearly defined the air quality improvement targets of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in the form of a table, and the other is to clarify the assessment of the completion situation and the areas that have not passed the assessment. Talk about the person in charge.

This news is exciting. However, in the excitement, savoring the details, there are actually many issues to discuss.

First of all, the news comes from a draft of the Ministry of Environmental Protection. Apart from the air quality improvement targets of the provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), other issues are unclear. It is so important that it relates to the documents of life and health of every Chinese people. Why not disclose the full text. ?

Secondly, and most importantly, the air quality improvement targets of all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) are reduced in concentration. For example, the annual average concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei is reduced by 25%, and that in Guangdong and Chongqing is reduced by 15%. Etc. From the published plans of the 10 countries of the Atmosphere and the provinces that have been issued, the reference system for the concentration reduction is 2012.

But the problem is also here. First, do the provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) have the annual average PM2.5 concentration in 2012? As far as I know, at least in the currently published data, it is difficult to find, and even if there is, in 2012, the provinces and cities for the PM2.5 monitoring station layout is still in its infancy, the number of points and the corresponding data can be true It is hard to say the actual situation.

Second, comparing the military order with the ten countries of the atmosphere, the only difference is that the ten countries of the Atmosphere require that the annual average concentration of fine particulate matter in Beijing be controlled at 60 μg/m3 by 2017. This figure should not be underestimated. The only specific number that appears in the provincial and municipal air quality improvement targets. The question also arises from this. Why can't provinces and cities produce a specific goal like Beijing? But what about a reduction in relative concentration? After all, we can't figure out the PM2.5 concentration in 2012.

At the same time, we can also reverse this 60 microgram / cubic meter, which is the result of a 25% reduction in 2012, so that the annual average concentration of PM2.5 in 2012 can be about 80 micrograms / cubic meter. .

80 micrograms / cubic meter, is this result true? In fact, a comparison can be made. On January 2, 2014, the Beijing Municipal Environmental Protection Bureau announced for the first time that the annual average concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing in 2013 was 89.5 μg/m3. This annual average concentration is the first time in Beijing. The corresponding results of the 35 monitoring stations, the four seasons of the spring, summer, autumn and winter complete monitoring data, which is considered to be the first year of Beijing PM2.5 monitoring data, is also the result of the air improved in 2012 based on a year.

Then, compared with 80 micrograms per cubic meter in 2012 and 89.5 micrograms per cubic meter in 2013, we will ask, we should believe that Beijing air did not improve last year, or to understand the basic reference data for 2012 cited by the country. distortion? If it is distorted, then the seriousness and accuracy of the military order is questionable.

In fact, we can also lead to the third question that deserves to be discussed. For the target of control, the concentration ratio is reduced instead of setting the specific concentration value, which is likely to make room for data fraud. However, for example, there are 10 monitoring points in a city, 5 of which are in urban areas and 5 in suburbs or scenic areas. The difference in PM2.5 concentration is large, with an annual average concentration of 200 μg/cubic in urban areas. Calculated by rice and suburbs of 50 μg/m3, the average annual concentration of the city in 2012 is 125 μg/m3.

However, in the following year, the monitoring concentration in the urban area has not improved (not to mention the possibility of increase). In order to prevent the impact assessment, the area may choose to increase the distribution of suburbs and reduce the urban distribution. Finally, two urban areas have been added. Monitoring points, and the addition of six suburban monitoring points, then the average annual concentration of PM2.5 in the region has changed to 109 micrograms / cubic meter, thus achieving the task of reducing the concentration by about 10% per year, but in fact, the city's air Quality has not improved.

Fourth, the military order requires all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) to formulate implementation rules and annual plans, decompose and implement tasks, and refine them to the annual, but from the current implementation plans such as Beijing and Hebei, no one has an annual decomposition target. And only Beijing will determine the reduction of PM2.5 concentration in each jurisdiction. How to determine the responsibility for an assessment that is not even detailed? The interview can only be an empty talk.

Moreover, the military order is doubtful and debatable, but only from the above four points, it is enough to re-examine the military order. The military order is coming vigorously, but please be serious and most important, and should further reflect sincerity.

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