Japan’s nuclear pollution incident has increased the vigilance of the global nuclear power giants, and has re-examined the development and utilization of renewable energy. As early as March 16th, the State Council Executive Meeting decided to immediately organize a comprehensive safety inspection of China’s nuclear facilities, and adjust and improve the mid- and long-term plans for the development of nuclear power. Before the approval of nuclear safety planning, the approval of nuclear power projects shall be suspended, including the preparatory work. project. The principle of "proactive development" of China's nuclear power was replaced by "safety first."
According to analysis by industry insiders, the adjustments facing mid- and long-term plans for nuclear power will not affect China’s emissions reduction in the next five years, and the carbon emissions target for 2020 may fall. Despite the controversy over the world-wide development strategy of nuclear power, experts from countries such as China and the United States believe that as a clean energy source with obvious advantages, new technologies will make nuclear power still play an important role in future energy strategies.
The “null-nuclear†adjustment does not affect the “Twelfth Five-Year†emission reduction The National Development and Reform System Resource Conservation and Environmental Protection Working Conference held in Changsha on March 17 pointed out that during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, China’s energy saving and emission reduction efforts have achieved remarkable results. With an average annual growth rate of 6.6% energy consumption, the growth rate of 11.2% of the national economy was supported. However, the overall trend of deterioration of the current ecological environment has not fundamentally improved, and some local environmental carrying capacity is already near the limit. In the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, it is necessary to achieve a 16% reduction in energy intensity and a 17% reduction in carbon dioxide intensity. The task of energy conservation and emission reduction is very arduous.
In order to honor China's commitment to reduce carbon emissions per unit of GDP by 40% to 45% at the Copenhagen conference, China's non-fossil energy share will reach 15% in the next 10 years. As one of the three pillars of power supply in the world, nuclear power is regarded as an important clean energy source for emission reduction. To achieve this goal, some experts estimate that the installed capacity of nuclear power needs to reach more than 75 million kilowatts.
According to public information, at present, there are 10.8 million kilowatts of installed nuclear power installed in the country, and 30.97 million kilowatts are under construction. The two are added together and are 40 million kilowatts. The 40 million kilowatts of nuclear power installations are the targets that were originally set in the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. In other words, without major development adjustments, it is no surprise that the current 12th Five-Year Plan can be achieved with the current scale and speed of construction.
According to Jiang Kejun, director of the Energy System Analysis and Market Analysis Research Center of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, the reduction of emissions over the next five years will not be affected by this nuclear power planning adjustment, as the nuclear power plants that need to be built have already started, and more adjustments are now being approved. The proposed project after 2020.
After the adjustment of China’s nuclear power development strategy, the long-term target of 86 million kilowatts for nuclear power installed nationwide has been determined not long before 2020 and may now be reduced. After the nuclear power plan is revised, the proportion of thermal power in the planned energy structure may increase. The carbon emissions target leading to 2020 may fall.
Since the construction period of nuclear power projects is usually as long as five or six years, and the review of new projects stopped before the introduction of the nuclear safety plan, this may affect the completion of the “13th Five-Year†nuclear power target. The energy gap vacated by this part of nuclear power capacity must be replaced by thermal power, hydropower, and other energy sources.
According to analysis by industry insiders, the adjustments facing mid- and long-term plans for nuclear power will not affect China’s emissions reduction in the next five years, and the carbon emissions target for 2020 may fall. Despite the controversy over the world-wide development strategy of nuclear power, experts from countries such as China and the United States believe that as a clean energy source with obvious advantages, new technologies will make nuclear power still play an important role in future energy strategies.
The “null-nuclear†adjustment does not affect the “Twelfth Five-Year†emission reduction The National Development and Reform System Resource Conservation and Environmental Protection Working Conference held in Changsha on March 17 pointed out that during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†period, China’s energy saving and emission reduction efforts have achieved remarkable results. With an average annual growth rate of 6.6% energy consumption, the growth rate of 11.2% of the national economy was supported. However, the overall trend of deterioration of the current ecological environment has not fundamentally improved, and some local environmental carrying capacity is already near the limit. In the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, it is necessary to achieve a 16% reduction in energy intensity and a 17% reduction in carbon dioxide intensity. The task of energy conservation and emission reduction is very arduous.
In order to honor China's commitment to reduce carbon emissions per unit of GDP by 40% to 45% at the Copenhagen conference, China's non-fossil energy share will reach 15% in the next 10 years. As one of the three pillars of power supply in the world, nuclear power is regarded as an important clean energy source for emission reduction. To achieve this goal, some experts estimate that the installed capacity of nuclear power needs to reach more than 75 million kilowatts.
According to public information, at present, there are 10.8 million kilowatts of installed nuclear power installed in the country, and 30.97 million kilowatts are under construction. The two are added together and are 40 million kilowatts. The 40 million kilowatts of nuclear power installations are the targets that were originally set in the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. In other words, without major development adjustments, it is no surprise that the current 12th Five-Year Plan can be achieved with the current scale and speed of construction.
According to Jiang Kejun, director of the Energy System Analysis and Market Analysis Research Center of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, the reduction of emissions over the next five years will not be affected by this nuclear power planning adjustment, as the nuclear power plants that need to be built have already started, and more adjustments are now being approved. The proposed project after 2020.
After the adjustment of China’s nuclear power development strategy, the long-term target of 86 million kilowatts for nuclear power installed nationwide has been determined not long before 2020 and may now be reduced. After the nuclear power plan is revised, the proportion of thermal power in the planned energy structure may increase. The carbon emissions target leading to 2020 may fall.
Since the construction period of nuclear power projects is usually as long as five or six years, and the review of new projects stopped before the introduction of the nuclear safety plan, this may affect the completion of the “13th Five-Year†nuclear power target. The energy gap vacated by this part of nuclear power capacity must be replaced by thermal power, hydropower, and other energy sources.
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