The machine tool industry is the carrier of advanced manufacturing technology and the basic production means of equipment manufacturing. It is the foundation and lifeline of national economic and national defense construction and belongs to the national strategic industry. The CNC machine tool is the core product of the machine tool industry. It is a technology-intensive product integrating light, machine and electricity, which provides an important guarantee for the development of the equipment manufacturing industry.
From the perspective of the machine tool industry chain, raw material costs account for a relatively large proportion. In comparison, upstream steel and electronics suppliers have more negotiation advantages; the industry is in a three-pronged pattern in Asia, Europe, America and the Americas, and Japan and Germany are still the industry leaders. China is accelerating its rise; the downstream of the industry is mainly equipment manufacturing, and the machine tool industry is more closely related to the downstream.
China's machine tool industry has huge production and scientific research capabilities, but the internal development is very uneven. Shenyang machine tools and Dalian machine tools are two big, with revenues exceeding 10 billion, while the second group's Qiji machine tools and Qinchuan machine tools are just over 20. The other companies are under 1.5 billion yuan, and the market concentration is not high.
For the seventh consecutive year, China's machine tool industry has become the world's largest consumer of machine tools, the first importing country and the third largest producing country. The average growth rate of the industry in the past seven years is 29%. However, the numerical control rate and localization rate are still low, and the product structure is also very reasonable. The industry still faces the shackles of "big but not strong", especially the outbreak of the international financial crisis, which makes these problems and drawbacks further prominent.
Affected by the decline in the growth rate of downstream industry demand, the overall growth rate of China's machine tool industry will also significantly slow down. It is estimated that the growth rate of the machine tool industry in 2009 is about 10%, which is likely to be a single digit. Among them, ordinary machine tools may be negative growth, and the increase of CNC machine tools, especially for medium and high-end CNC machine tools, may be above 10%.
At present, the localization rate of China's medium and high-end CNC machine tools is still very low, and the key equipment needed for national key projects mainly depends on imports. After years of technical accumulation and strong support from national industrial policies, some key areas have been broken. The overall technical level of domestic high-end CNC machine tools will be significantly improved in the future. Substituting imports will become a new point in China's machine tool industry in the future. .
Investing in the investment in the machine tool industry should focus on the two ideas of industrial integration, structural adjustment and product upgrading, and accordingly look for platform companies with reorganization and integration opportunities, as well as CNC products, especially medium and high-end CNC products, which are relatively large, technologically advanced or have potential for improvement. company of. Domestic A-shares include Shenyang Machine Tool (000410), Kunming Machine Tool (600806), Qinchuan Development (000837), Tianma (002122), Huadong CNC (002246) and Fain CNC (002270).
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