On December 31, 2012, the National Development and Reform Commission proposed for the first time that when the volatility of coal prices exceeds 5%, the annual on-grid tariffs will be adjusted accordingly. At present, this volatility has fallen below 5%, reaching around 20%. In the past two years, the price of main coke coal has fallen by 50%, and mainstream coal prices have fallen by more than 30%.
However, according to the reporter’s understanding, since 2004, the relevant departments have adjusted the on-grid price or sales price several times. In addition to the downward adjustment of the on-grid tariffs for small thermal power units in eight provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) including Jilin and Hubei at the end of 2011, the rest of the adjustments to the on-grid tariffs have been raised.
Yan Xufeng, an analyst at the Institute of Energy Research, told reporters yesterday that coal prices have continued to fall and electricity prices should be lowered accordingly.
Although the cry came from all directions, Lin Boqiang, director of the Xiamen University's Institute of Energy Economics, pointed out that the China Electricity Council, a coal-electricity association of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that it is not appropriate to cut the price of electricity in recent years. “Some electric power companies have suffered serious losses in the past few years. Some companies have not yet paid off their debts." However, due to economic downturn, in order to reduce corporate costs, some agencies have said that the price of electricity has been reduced signs.
Experts believe that prices are not easy to fall due to monopoly
Zhang Zhibin said: "Electricity companies are monopoly industries, the price is easy to rise and fall. Specifically, the electricity price is the planned price, coal is the market price, has not formed a linkage, so the price will not fall."
"The reduction of 0.8 cents / kWh of electricity, if the annual thermal power generation in 2012 as a standard, the total profit impact on the power industry is 30.5 billion yuan." Zhang Zhibin said.
Electricity companies complained: they are still making up their losses and not reducing prices
The China Electric Power Enterprise Federation recently proposed that considering a combination of factors, it is not appropriate to reduce the price of electricity in recent years, giving thermal power companies a chance to recuperate and regenerate the sustainable development capability of the thermal power industry. The reason is: For the environmental protection reforms such as full denitrification that started last year, large investments are needed, and the subsidy electricity prices introduced by the country cannot offset the problem of increasing costs. A person in charge of an electric company, who asked not to be named, told this reporter that “but in the past few years, some power companies suffered serious losses. Some companies had not yet paid off their debts.â€
Expert advice: thermal power price reduction new energy power generation price increase
Wang Xufeng said that in terms of feasibility, even if it is necessary to adjust the price of electricity, it must wait until early next year. Moreover, as several major power groups are also opposed to lowering the price of electricity at this time. After all, power companies have just come out of the dilemma of sustained losses. Zhang Tianyi, general manager of CCID Consulting Shanghai Branch, told reporters yesterday that in addition to traditional power generation methods, the proportion of new energy power generation has gradually increased and the cost of new energy power generation is still much higher than that of coal-fired power. Encourage the power grid to develop according to the actual market conditions. Electricity price.
Power cuts are conducive to GDP growth
An Zong Consulting analyst Chen Zhe told reporters that the development of high energy-consuming industries such as steel, coking, and cement is in a downturn. If the cost of electricity is reduced slightly, it will have a positive effect on these industries, and it will also benefit GDP growth. According to reports, some province governments have submitted an application to the National Development and Reform Commission requesting price cuts, because "local economic development is not particularly good, especially industrial production is greatly affected by the economy."
In May this year, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice, deciding to further reduce the electricity prices for the production and circulation of agricultural products. Zhang Zhibin, an analyst at China Coal Grand Consulting Center, said that this may be a signal that the on-grid tariff should be adjusted, but do not know when. Recently, a report from Citi showed that China will cut the on-grid electricity price in the third quarter. However, these messages have not been confirmed by the relevant national authorities.
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